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FNUS51 KCTP 231047
FWFCTP
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
547 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2008
.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE SOUTH OF PENNSYLVANIA WILL MOVE TO THE EAST COAST
AND HELP TO SUPPLY INCREASING SUNSHINE...LIGHT WEST TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS...AND NOTICEABLY MILDER TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS
COMPARED TO SATURDAY.
AFTER A FAIR AND COLD NIGHT...A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST FROM
THE OHIO VALLEY AND SPREAD A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE
REGION MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW
AND SLEET COULD ACCUMULATION ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN
MOUNTAINS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. A LATE DAY AND EVENING
CHANGEOVER TO MAINLY RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL...AND MUCH OF SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA.
BLUSTERY AND COLDER WEATHER WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA FOR THE
MIDWEEK PERIOD WITH MORE SNOW SHOWERS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY LAKE
EFFECT OR MOUNTAIN ENHANCED SNOWS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
AND THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS.
PAZ004-005-232130-
WARREN-MCKEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD
547 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2008
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS NONE SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 90
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (+10) 17 (+3) 37
RH % (24H TREND) 43 (-19) 96 (-3) 59
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) SW 5 S 7
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 7 SW 5 S 9 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.18
PRECIP DURATION 2 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM 10 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3710 780 3300
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 15 SW 20 SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 67180 8960 80110
DISPERSION 5 4 5
DSI 1 0 1
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKSGIVING DAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
PAZ006-010-011-017-018-232130-
POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...
EMPORIUM...DUBOIS...CLEARFIELD...PHILIPSBURG
547 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2008
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 90
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (+8) 17 (+3) 37
RH % (24H TREND) 39 (-14) 94 (-6) 54
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) SW 5 SE 5
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 7 LGT/VAR SE 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.16
PRECIP DURATION 6
PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3510 1070 4170
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 19 SW 19 SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 64580 13940 92470
DISPERSION 5 4 5
DSI 1 0 1
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
PAZ024-033-232130-
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET
547 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2008
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 100
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (+11) 19 (+6) 40
RH % (24H TREND) 33 (-14) 85 (-14) 53
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) SW 5 S 7
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 7 SW 5 S 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.24
PRECIP DURATION 6
PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3520 2190 4080
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 16 SW 17 SW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55970 33580 99630
DISPERSION 5 5 5
DSI 1 0 1
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 5 3
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MIXED SNOW AND RAIN EARLY MONDAY
NIGHT...CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WINDY. CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS 20 TO
30 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
$$
PAZ019-025>028-232130-
SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATE COLLEGE...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON...
MOUNT UNION...LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN
547 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2008
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 100
TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (+9) 21 (+2) 43
RH % (24H TREND) 34 (-14) 84 (-16) 47
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR S 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.15
PRECIP DURATION 6
PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3860 810 4520
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 17 SW 14 SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 68580 5190 78910
DISPERSION 5 3 5
DSI 1 0 1
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 5 4
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...RAIN...SNOW AND SLEET....TAPERING TO
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS LATE. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST
WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
PAZ034-035-232130-
BEDFORD-FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEDFORD...MCCONNELLSBURG
547 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2008
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 100
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (+11) 23 (+5) 43
RH % (24H TREND) 28 (-11) 73 (-18) 43
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR S 9
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.20
PRECIP DURATION 6
PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4070 1880 4750
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 13 SW 15 S 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 54180 17260 92810
DISPERSION 5 5 5
DSI 1 0 1
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 5 4
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH WET SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY
EARLY MONDAY NIGHT...TAPERING TO FLURRIES AND SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS FOR TUESDAY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 15
TO 25 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
PAZ012-037-041-042-232130-
NORTHERN CLINTON-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RENOVO...MANSFIELD...WELLSBORO...
TROUT RUN...LAPORTE
547 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2008
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (+8) 18 (+2) 40
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (+6) 91 (-7) 46
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) W 5 LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 7 LGT/VAR SE 9 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.07
PRECIP DURATION 4
PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4130 1140 3790
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 18 SW 20 SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 67860 22860 76750
DISPERSION 5 5 5
DSI 1 0 1
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 4 3
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN...THEN SNOW SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15
MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
PAZ045-046-049>053-058-232130-
SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-
NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-SCHUYLKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOCK HAVEN...WILLIAMSPORT...LEWISBURG...
SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN...BLOOMSBURG...
BERWICK...POTTSVILLE
547 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2008
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (+6) 20 (+1) 42
RH % (24H TREND) 38 (+5) 79 (-21) 47
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR SE 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.04
PRECIP DURATION 4
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4350 1270 4650
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) NW 19 SW 13 S 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 83560 16260 109160
DISPERSION 5 5 5
DSI 1 0 1
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 5 4
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...RAIN...MIXEDW WITH WET SNOW...AND
SLEET EARLY...THEN FLURRIES AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS FOR LATE
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-232130-
FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHAMBERSBURG...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...
HERSHEY...LEBANON...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER
547 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2008
TODAY TONIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 80
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (+7) 24 (+4) 46
RH % (24H TREND) 30 (-9) 78 (-22) 41
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 6 LGT/VAR SE 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.07
PRECIP DURATION 5
PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4480 1480 5400
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 17 SW 15 S 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 90330 20150 131030
DISPERSION 5 5 5
DSI 1 0 1
LAL NO TSTMS NO TSTMS NO TSTMS
HAINES INDEX 4 5 5
RH RECOVERY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY...THEN
FLURRIES WITH ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS TUESDAY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.
$$
LAMBERT