FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM

FNUS54 KEPZ 041251 FWFEPZ FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 651 AM MDT SAT JUL 4 2009 .DISCUSSION... FOCUS FOR AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL SHIFT WESTWARD TODAY OVER THE GILA AND BOOTHEEL REGIONS...WITH THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE LIKELY BEING ENHANCED DUE TO APPROACHING SHORTWAVE NEAR THE AZ/UT BORDER...AND REMNANT CIRCULATION (MCV) FROM LAST EVENINGS THUNDERSTORMS OVER AZ NOW APPROACHING SOUTHWEST NM. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE STORMS DEVELOP. DRIER AIR ALOFT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TOWARDS THE TUE-WED TIMEFRAME...BRINGING A POSSIBLE BREAK IN THE MONSOON FOR MOST AREAS. && ...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT SKY COVER AMOUNT... ...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS: ZONE 110 - RESERVE (5900 FT) ZONE 111 - DEMING (4300 FT) ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT) ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO (6900 FT) VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO. NMZ110-041830- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 110 SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ- 651 AM MDT SAT JUL 4 2009 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE..... ABOVE 7500 FT....72-77. BELOW 7500 FT....80-85. 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........ ABOVE 7500 FT....47-52 PCT. BELOW 7500 FT....39-44 PCT. 24 HR TREND......14 PCT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTH 10 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PCT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 1200...THEN 5. HAINES INDEX........3. MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 KNOTS. VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (44500 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PCT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE..... ABOVE 7500 FT....51-55. BELOW 7500 FT....57-62. 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........ ABOVE 7500 FT....79-84 PCT. BELOW 7500 FT....78-83 PCT. 24 HR TREND......3 PCT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTH 8 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PCT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........3. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE..... ABOVE 7500 FT....70-75. BELOW 7500 FT....81-86. MIN HUMIDITY........ ABOVE 7500 FT....44-49 PCT. BELOW 7500 FT....36-41 PCT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 8 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........3. MIXING HEIGHT.......12800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 KNOTS. VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (64000 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 54 TO 59. HIGHS 80 TO 85. 20-FT WINDS SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 32 TO 37%. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 54 TO 59. HIGHS 82 TO 87. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 33 TO 38%. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 54 TO 59. HIGHS 84 TO 89. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 23 TO 28%. $$ NMZ111-041830- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 111 SOUTHERN DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ- 651 AM MDT SAT JUL 4 2009 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PCT. 24 HR TREND......3 PCT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTH 10 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PCT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 5. HAINES INDEX........2. MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 KNOTS. VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (57600 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-68. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PCT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTH 13 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........2. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94. MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PCT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 12 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PCT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........3. MIXING HEIGHT.......10900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 KNOTS. VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (54500 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 27 TO 32%. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 27 TO 32%. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 20 TO 25%. $$ NMZ112-041830- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 112 SOUTHCENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-LNZ- 651 AM MDT SAT JUL 4 2009 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PCT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHWEST 21 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PCT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........2. MIXING HEIGHT.......12400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 KNOTS. VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (62000 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PCT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-68. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PCT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTH 10 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........2. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94. MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PCT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 9 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PCT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........3. MIXING HEIGHT.......12300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4 KNOTS. VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (49200 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. HIGHS 91 TO 96. 20-FT WINDS EAST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 26 TO 31%. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 63 TO 68. HIGHS 93 TO 98. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 27 TO 32%. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS 94 TO 99. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 19 TO 24%. $$ NMZ113-041830- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 113 CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ- 651 AM MDT SAT JUL 4 2009 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE..... ABOVE 7500 FT....69-74. BELOW 7500 FT....78-83. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........ ABOVE 7500 FT....45-50 PCT. BELOW 7500 FT....40-45 PCT. 24 HR TREND......5 PCT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHWEST 14 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PCT. LAL.................4. HAINES INDEX........2. MIXING HEIGHT.......11400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 KNOTS. VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (68400 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PCT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE..... ABOVE 7500 FT....52-56. BELOW 7500 FT....58-62. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........ ABOVE 7500 FT....76-81 PCT. BELOW 7500 FT....78-83 PCT. 24 HR TREND......6 PCT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTH 10 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........3. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE..... ABOVE 7500 FT....68-73. BELOW 7500 FT....81-86. MIN HUMIDITY........ ABOVE 7500 FT....52-57 PCT. BELOW 7500 FT....38-43 PCT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 9 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PCT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........3. MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4 KNOTS. VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (44000 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 56 TO 61. HIGHS 81 TO 86. 20-FT WINDS EAST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 34 TO 39%. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 55 TO 60. HIGHS 83 TO 88. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 33 TO 38%. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 56 TO 61. HIGHS 85 TO 90. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 22 TO 27%. $$ TXZ055-041830- TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055 EL PASO COUNTY- 651 AM MDT SAT JUL 4 2009 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-93. 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........33-37 PCT. 24 HR TREND......1 PCT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHWEST 21 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PCT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........2. MIXING HEIGHT.......10600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 KNOTS. VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (53000 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PCT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....68-72. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PCT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTH 9 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........2. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-94. MIN HUMIDITY........35-39 PCT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 9 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PCT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........2. MIXING HEIGHT.......10300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 KNOTS. VENT CATEGORY.......POOR (30900 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. 20-FT WINDS EAST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 30 TO 35%. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 28 TO 33%. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS 96 TO 100. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 20 TO 25%. $$ TXZ056-041830- TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056 HUDSPETH COUNTY- 651 AM MDT SAT JUL 4 2009 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PCT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........35-39 PCT. 24 HR TREND......1 PCT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..WEST 37 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PCT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........2. MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4 KNOTS. VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (52000 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-67. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PCT. 24 HR TREND......5 PCT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHWEST 13 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PCT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3. HAINES INDEX........2. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PCT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PCT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-92. MIN HUMIDITY........35-39 PCT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH. 10000 FT MSL WINDS..NORTHEAST 9 MPH. CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PCT. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. HAINES INDEX........2. MIXING HEIGHT.......12400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 KNOTS. VENT CATEGORY.......POOR (37200 KNOT-FT). .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S. 20-FT WINDS EAST AROUND 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH 33 TO 38%. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 90S. 20-FT WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 28 TO 33%. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S. 20-FT WINDS WEST AROUND 10 MPH. MINIMUM RH 20 TO 25%. $$ FCSTR - 25