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FNUS53 KDTX 142101
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
353 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

...THIS IS THE LAST FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE 2008 
SEASON...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING WILL
ALLOW WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH...AND INCREASE TOMORROW AS LOW
PRESSURE RAPIDLY DEEPENS...TRACKING THROUGH THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY SLIDE ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY 
MORNING...ALLOWING A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO MOVE OVER LAKE HURON 
SUNDAY NIGHT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-151300-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
353 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN. 
                    POP...90 PERCENT. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41. 
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........88-95 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH 
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1850-2050 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 
                    20 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (60). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN. 

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY 
                    AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH 4 PM...THEN 
                    SNOW LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46. 
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........68-78 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5310-5810 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1330). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY. POP...60 
                    PERCENT. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31. 
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5260-5460 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1040). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN. 

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW 
                    SHOWERS THROUGH 1 PM. POP...40 PERCENT. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40. 
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5490-5990 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1470). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-151300-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
353 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN. 
                    POP...90 PERCENT. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41. 
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........91-99 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH 
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1200 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 
                    20 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (60). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN. 

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY 
                    THROUGH 4 PM...THEN SNOW LIKELY. POP...70 
                    PERCENT. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46. 
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........73-80 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5330-5830 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1380). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY. POP...70 
                    PERCENT. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31. 
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5180-5380 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1080). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN. 

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW 
                    SHOWERS THROUGH 1 PM. POP...40 PERCENT. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39. 
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........65-74 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5410-5910 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1520). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-151300-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
353 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS. 
                    POP...100 PERCENT. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44. 
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH 
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......1730-1930 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 20 TO 
                    25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (80). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN. 

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY 
                    THROUGH 4 PM...THEN SNOW LIKELY. POP...70 
                    PERCENT. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46. 
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........69-79 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 
                    10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......4590-5090 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1270). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.76-1.00 IN. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY. POP...70 
                    PERCENT. 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31. 
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER. 
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5070-5270 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1090). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN. 

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW 
                    SHOWERS THROUGH 1 PM. POP...40 PERCENT. 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39. 
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER. 
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT. 
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER. 
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
MIXING HEIGHT.......5770-6270 FT AGL. 
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH. 
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1550). 
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. 

$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. 

$$

THIS IS THE LAST FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE 2008 SEASON.
THE FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST WILL RETURN IN THE SPRING OF 
2009. 


SF