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FNUS53 KDTX 142101
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
353 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008
...THIS IS THE LAST FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE 2008
SEASON...
.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING WILL
ALLOW WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH...AND INCREASE TOMORROW AS LOW
PRESSURE RAPIDLY DEEPENS...TRACKING THROUGH THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY SLIDE ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY
MORNING...ALLOWING A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO MOVE OVER LAKE HURON
SUNDAY NIGHT.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-151300-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
353 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN.
POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1850-2050 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH
20 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (60).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH 4 PM...THEN
SNOW LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-78 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5310-5810 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1330).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY. POP...60
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5260-5460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1040).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH 1 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5490-5990 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1470).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-151300-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
353 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN.
POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH
20 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (60).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
THROUGH 4 PM...THEN SNOW LIKELY. POP...70
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-80 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5330-5830 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1380).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY. POP...70
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5180-5380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1080).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH 1 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-74 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5410-5910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1520).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-151300-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
353 PM EST FRI NOV 14 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS.
POP...100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1730-1930 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 20 TO
25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...'POOR' (80).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
THROUGH 4 PM...THEN SNOW LIKELY. POP...70
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-79 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4590-5090 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1270).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.76-1.00 IN.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY. POP...70
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5070-5270 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1090).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH 1 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5770-6270 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...'EXCELLENT' (1550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
$$
THIS IS THE LAST FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE 2008 SEASON.
THE FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST WILL RETURN IN THE SPRING OF
2009.
SF