FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI

FNUS53 KAPX 040656 FWFAPX FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 256 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009 ...DRIER CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES TO PREVAIL... .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY SETTLING OVER THE STATE THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND WILL BRING WITH IT WARMER TEMPERATURES AND MAINTENANCE OF PRECIPITATION-FREE WEATHER THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING WELL INTO THE 70S BOTH AFTERNOONS UNDER PLENTY OF SUNSHINE...RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO DROP. HOWEVER...CURRENT INDICATIONS SHOW RH READINGS WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LOW VALUES. GOOD RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHTS. WINDS WILL REMAIN BRISK FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. MIZ016-017-019-021>023-042015- EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY COUNTIES- 256 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT...EXCEPT 65-70 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 16 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (790). MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (10). MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1180). MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-042015- PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF- 256 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT...EXCEPT 49-54 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (990). MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT...EXCEPT 51-56 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1320). MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ020-025>027-042015- LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL- 256 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT...EXCEPT 62-67 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........GOOD (480). MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1260). MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ031>033-042015- MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF- 256 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR THE COAST. MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT...EXCEPT 57-62 PERCENT ALONG THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........GOOD (590). MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51...EXCEPT 53-58 NEAR THE COAST. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 9 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79. 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE COAST. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1800). MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO WEST AROUND 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-042015- CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF- 256 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 0800. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76. 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 16 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (990). MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER. MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........POOR (0). MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80. 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER. MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1780). MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE. $$ .EXTENDED... .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ MB